Objective: To investigate the association between retinal layer thickness and cognitive impairment and future cognitive decline in a community-based population cohort.

Results: This study included 430 participants (female, 208 [48.6%]). Baseline macular RNFL thickness was associated with baseline Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease (CERAD) score (coefficient [β] = 0.077; 95% CI, 0.054-0.100; P = .04 for total macular area) and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score (coefficient [β] = 0.082; 95% CI, 0.063-0.101; P = .03 for total macular area). A thinner baseline total macular RNFL thickness (lowest quartile, <231 μm) was associated with a larger decline in the CERAD and MMSE scores during the follow-up period (P = .003 and P = .01, respectively). Furthermore, participants with baseline total macular RNFL thickness below the lowest quartile cutoff value presented a greater decline in cognitive scores and a higher prevalence of cognitive impairment and Alzheimer disease than those with RNFL thickness above the lowest quartile cutoff value.

Conclusions and relevance: In this study, macular RNFL thickness could be used as a prognostic biomarker of long-term cognitive decline in adults 60 years or older. However, to confirm these results, further large-scale population-based studies should be performed.